joepub1
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Aug 30 2004 05:09 PM
Re: NHC Track

I’ll need to really reconsider my geographic preferences for permanent residence

I'd like to tell you that you get used to it, but we have never had a month of August like this before, Every single piece of sand has been threatened in about 30 days by one storm or another. I can't recall this ever happening before. You're really in what was a pretty safe area, until this year.

18Z GFDL is a space coast hit and rides the east coast right into my backyard. Never have liked that model.

We are almost at this point:
A) East coast of FL, across the state, into the NE GOM.
B) East coast of FL, rides just inland or just along the coast.
C) A complete recurve, misses FL, Carolina bound.
At 5PM the discussion said this:
THE BAD NEWS FOR THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA PENINSULA IS THAT THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IN THE CURRENT MODEL FORECASTS THROUGH 5 DAYS THAT COULD SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKEN THIS RIDGE.

Here in Jax Frances is leading the local newscasts top stories. Option C is not being considered here. The word is getting out that it's still 5 days+ away, but get ready, could be a huge problem.