Excellent discussion here NOT focusing on any specific points for landfall, contrary to some TV coverage in Orlando. Just rec'd a call that one station is getting viewers in a tizzy about a hit on Cape Canaveral.

Thanks for your reference to Hebert's Box - solid rule of thumb info to know.

As for models, I'm sure we all remember how the models kept trending left of Charley's actual track, but still within "the cone of concern."

Area around P.R. is famous for TUTT effects - remember how Andrew weakened, then strengthened again E. of Bahamas?