Not looking so great for Florida right now. I kind of like to focus in the on the Orlando area because I take residence there. I expect the majority of Florida to get a rather nasty taste of Frances due to its large size-I can't rule out hurricane force winds extending outward by 110-120 miles by the time the storm nears the Bahamas. I can feel this one coming on already. Frances looks remarkable on satellite images this evening.

The NHC track looks pretty darn good to me at this point. Barring any MAJOR changes, you can pretty much expect tweaks in the track forecast throughout the next few days. Another scary point-NHC stated in the 5 PM discussion that the intensity forecast could be "conservative".

Good grief...