Rabbit, if the NHC "first call on landfall" is anywhere close, you'll be eating crow with your statement of "I am certain the winds will not exceed 100 mph."

The 11pm forecast advisory brings the center to 28°N/81°W at 5 days, inland after hitting the coast as a 120kt hurricane. Where is 28/81? Orlando is at 28.5/81.3, so that places it just south-southeast of Orlando by about 30 miles to the south and 18 miles to the east...think Narcoosee, FL. That'd put the storm passing just to your south.

For those of you all in the Stewart fan club -- he's got the 11pm package on Frances coming up shortly.

Gaston has been reclassified as a T.S. about 50mi SW of Ocean City, MD, while Hermine is still being carried as a T.S. based off of buoy data south of Massachusetts. It (Hermine) is nearing landfall, but at this rate is bound just to kick up the wind a bit with some passing showers. In fact, many people there are bound to think what the big deal is about, as they may well receive no rain from this system at all.

A few new watches/warnings are up for Frances, mainly in the big islands, with potential T.S. watches for the Turks & Caicos tomorrow.