I hope everyone in South Florida doesn't wait for the High in the Atlantic to open a hole for Frances 24 hours before landfall. It certainly could happen - and might. But, what if it doesn't? Kind of like being under water with a 10 ton rock on your head holding you down and praying it moves so you can get up to get air.

I found the statistically significant Herbert's Box info quite fearful for South Florida. 90% +/- accuracy is a pretty high number. That should be enough warning for all of us (as we all haul butt out of Florida praying this is the one out of 10 'cain that misses us).