JB is obviously picking up on the data we received that the NCEP may have information others don't...any way I think we all agreed that Wednesday's models will be the tale...I am impressed so far this year with the NHC's 72 hour fixes, unlike a couple of years ago when anything else did happen.

In response to DEE of Bradenton...IF the NHC 5 day were to hold, and that is what this discussion is all about, then in Bradenton/ Parrish we should get only the W and SW quardrant and then " only " tropical force winds I would suspect.
If it did a Donna trac and similar intensity...again NW abd W side, but probably hurricane CATI to II force for about 30-60 minutes., depending on where it would enter the coast.