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Much uncertainty with regards to Frances. Models not helping much at least in the long term. GFS which continues too flip back and forth. 00z GFS had it headed towards NC-12z now has it brushing FL coastline and lanfalling in GA. Latest spaghetti model plot has few making sharp turn toward NW-N, several bring this towrds central/N FL,and then theres a few which head it more west-WNW. I'am still up in the air on future of ridging to north as many are, for now I''ll go with ''possible'' landfall between Stuart and Jacksonville FL(or what previous NHC 5AM track was) although still a ton of question marks??? |