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Well everything I have seen over the past hour shows Frances making a mnor jog northwestward and now continues west at this time. Frances continues to look stronger on satellite as outflow increasing to the north allowing Frances to strengthen again. I would epect pressures to fall this afternoon and winds increase to a strong Cat. 4(150 mph). I was thinking earlier that Frances was making its turn w-nw but simce its jog a definit west track has continued. I do agree Frances will turn w-nw as it approaches the Bahama's but again exactly where it makes the turn is very important. I still do not feel Frances will miss Florida but where in Florida is still unknown. My guess is still between WPB and Vero Beach. Like everyone else wait and see. |