Hey everyone, been awhile since I've posted. I've been doing my own research on Frances and my thought right now is that the ULL near S Fl and the Bahamas may have an effect on the track of Frances. The ULL is drifting SW and weaking, which should allow the ridge to build a bit more. Im guessing the ULL is what caused the little Northward movement earlier today. Also take into account the fact that Strong hurricanes strengthen the ridge over the top of them. So IMO this all leads to a landfall left of the NHC forecast track. Im in the same boat as DT basically. Any thoughts?? Also, if the Euro model is right it looks like Frances could become a threat to the Panhandle. This would only occur with a south flordia landfall. Steve, Coop, do ya'll have any thoughts about this?