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18z GFS is out now,,, its even alittle further south then the 12z run. Now its showing a landfall near Melbourne across the state- Ocala then more N after that. I also see after a decent wnw movement the first 24 hours then almost more nw then slowing down due to the exiting weak trough off the S.E. US then turns more again wnw by Friday thru Saturday making a landfall. Soooo many varibles come into play here with the current movement and slowing and then turning wnw more at the end. Next main trough wont affect this to at least Sunday now so the path now is in the strength of the ridge in the near term, then how fast the weakness off the carolinas and GA moves out to push her again wnw. Point is in all this,, 18Z ETA and now GFS sees this slowing then turning wnw Friday. |