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The Canadian also keeps Frances offshore. The GFS has wavered back and forth and at least in the 0831 00Z run was more or less in agrement with the GFDL, but now has moved back west and south. Most of the others are more in line with the NHC forecast, with the exception of the A98E model which takes Frances hard left across Cuba into the Caribbean. As I said in another message, I am hoping to see the models settle down and come to a better consensus. Bill |