Wow, had not seen the 18Z HurricaneAlley spaghetti plot. That is a scary sight.

However, many of the models have been flip-flopping (no political jokes Phil!) including key models like the GFS. I still don't think they have a good handle on Frances. Also many of these models "feed" off each other. It is natural for them to track together. Which is why I also pay close attention to the Canadian and UK models (just now learnng about the Euro model) because they are not necessarily influenced by the others. As good as we might be at this, I think we in the US have a lot to learn from the rest of the world.

Bill