It seems like every model has a good reason to be doing what it is doing. [Excluding A98E which is so far out to lunch, it will have to call the office and tell the boss it is lost] Not sure there will be a model consensus for another 24 hours. Seem to be so many variables right now. A friend of mine even noted that these runs are laying waste to the whole of the global models across the board on temperature and the like. They really seem to be strungling to latch on to something and stick with it.
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All the models seem to have some credibility