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On Monday we were told that basically here in Central Florida that we would know something more definitive about the storm on Wednesday. Are we now in the time frame where the information is going to be relatively accurate, yet? After a hurricane gets past a CAT 2 at the size of Frances, it really does not matter whether the track changes left or right by a few tenths, but it does matter whether or not the actual land fall occurrs on one day or another. This allows evacuators to know when to leave or whether to hunker down for the duration. ( roads, directions and so forth.) The question remains, are we in the time window now, that the information is more reliable?
Yes confidence is starting to creep up, I'm going to wait until tonight to really figure, but look at the new article I just put up for more perspecitive on it.
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