danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Wed Sep 01 2004 08:05 AM
Re:Frances and GOM

Well at least the UKMET model does, and the GFS did over last weekend.
I checked back to the text tropical models on 8/29 at 00Z.
The BAMD and BAMM have the best success of the 4 tropical models. Both being close to the actual NHC position.
BAMM has the best track record the last 2 days, in the 48 and 72 hour forecasts.
It was 0.0/ 0.8E off at 48 hours. About 52nm.
and....0.3S/ 0.6E off at 72 hrs. About 38nm


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