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Hello:
I am actually on the central west coast where we DO NOT need this to come. In fact nobody needs this...it will finish the agricultural damage only begun by Charley to say nothing of the potential damage in lives and other property. This is not wish casting! But I am telling my associates that this system can and may cross the state and effect them on Saturday, which IS NOT being broadcast by the media here as they rely solely on the NHC guidance for advice.
Absolutely. In fact, if the forecast track turns out to be dead-on, it is likely that all but maybe Ft Lauderdale (at the point) will be seeing Hurricane force winds, and for sure, strong TS winds. In your area, low areas will see some flooding in all likelyhood. Your observation of what is *possible* is also right on, a small shift in the actual track could easily put you in danger and IF the models happen to be correct, you could see the eye as easily as any of us in the northern 2/3 of the state. You are right to prepare accordingly.
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Re:Frances and GOM