Rabbit
(Weather Master)
Wed Sep 01 2004 12:12 PM
Re:Frances and GOM

Yes, the NOGAPS is the only one forecasting that; i brought it up because from experience the AVN, GFDL, CMC, and NOGAPS are all quite accurate, and 3 of those 4 are forecasting the hurricane to miss Florida, although not by much

i think by the time it is east of West Palm Beach, it will probably be about 80 miles offshore by Saturday morning
East of Cape Canaveral by 40 miles by Saturday afternoon
East of Daytona by 15-20 miles by Saturday evening
and making landfall between Jacksonville and South Carolina around 4am to 11 am on Sunday