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when the hurricane's inner eyewall collapses, a huge convective burst happens on one side, or it just feels like it.. the eye is going to jig-bob around. it's still going wnw... you can't make any reasonable argument that it has changed direction until you can disprove that it isn't just jerking around on it's generally straight path. has been gently bending right over the last couple of days.. will probably do this and slowly decelerate as it gets closer. the heights to the north are going to start rising again by the weekend, so i'm betting the terminal path will be wnw/nw. it may weaken some as it gets closer. not much.. maybe some. for now it still has the potential to get a tad stronger. HF 0032z02september |