DroopGB31
(Weather Guru)
Thu Sep 02 2004 01:08 AM
Re: Hurricane Frances in the Evening

I have a question for some pro's or someone who know's more about models than I do. Ok, we all know that strong hurricanes, (and Im pretty sure you can classify this a strong hurricane) they tend to strengthen the ridge thats above them correct? My question is, Do the models understand this or are they able to predict if this is occuring. I really dont understand how they are turning so far north. Do they think the weak trough in the east right now will weaken the ridge and cause a turn? The trough looks to be lifting out quickly and becoming zonal, so wouldnt that mean less effect on the ridge? Any insight would be very helpful, Thanks!


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center