""Frances has been moving west-northwestward for the past 24 hours under the influence of the subtropical ridge to the north...which is expected to remain intact through at least 48 hours.""

""In the short term...this would suggest that Frances should continue moving at 295 or even 290 degrees motion for the next 24 hours or so""

""However...with high pressure located to the northwest of Frances...I would not be surprised to the 00z model tracks shift a little more westward....""

These three statements DO NOT BODE well at all for the State of Florida.... I don't think this will be a Floyd redo...