danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Sep 02 2004 11:04 PM
Re: Weakening

If she holds together. Ft Pierce/ Cocoa Beach for 1st landfall and St Marks/ Appalachicola for second landfall.
11 PM EDT THU SEP 02 2004

FRANCES HAS WEAKENED SOME THIS EVENING BASED ON RECONNAISSANCE REPORTS AND SATELLITE DATA. THE INTENSITY IS BEING DECREASED TO 110 KT BASED ON 948-950 MB PRESSURE REPORTS. SINCE THE LAST RECON REPORTS...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE HAS BECOME CIRCULAR AND TOPS HAVE COOLED. THUS...THIS MAY ONLY BE A TEMPORARY WEAKENING PHASE...
...18Z UPPER-AIR AND
SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE DROPSONDE DATA INDICATE A STRONGER 700-400 RIDGE BY ABOUT 20 METERS.
Isn't this the same 20 meters from the sondes we had a problem with yesterday?




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