| Colleen A. |
| (Moderator) |
| Fri Sep 03 2004 12:21 AM |
|
Stewart's Discussion
|
This was what I was worried about:
Quote:
THE DROPSONDE SURVEILLANCE WIND DATA ALSO INDICATED THAT THE 300 MB
WIND FLOW IS FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND IS UNDERCUTTING THE VERY
IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW LAYER. THIS HAS LIKELY BEEN DISRUPTING THE EYE
SINCE THE BLOCKING RIDGE TO THE NORTH HAS BEEN TRYING TO PUSH
FRANCES WESTWARD. THIS MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR PATTERN IS NOT
FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO ABATE UNTIL ABOUT 24-26 HOURS. AT THAT
TIME...SOME STRENGTHENING MAY OCCUR AS FRANCES PASSES SLOWLY OVER
THE VERY WARM GULFSTREAM.
But also, the water temps are at 88* just ahead of her in the Bahamas. Unless, of course, that is where the Gulfstream begins. That could be a
moment for me.