doug
(Weather Analyst)
Fri Sep 03 2004 10:26 AM
Re: Frances Weakens a Bit

THIS SITE IS LIKE FOX NEWS : WE REPORT WHAT WE THINK WE SEE, YOU DECIDE WHAT TO BELIEVE.
LOTS OF WHAT IS WRITTEN HERE PRECEDES BY HOURS SOMETIMES WHAT THE NHC EVENTUALLY PUBLISHES...THEY SEE IT TOO BUT BEING CAUTIOUS DON'T PUBLICALLY DISCUSS IT. MANY HERE ARE SKILLFUL ENOUGH TO PREDICT THE SHORT TERM WITH SOME ACCURACY.
FOR EXAMPLE THE NHC PUBLICALLY IS DISCUSSING THE RIDGE COMING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND ITS INFLUENCE ON THE STORM...HENCE THEY ARE KEEPING IT IN A LAND FALL UNFORTNATELY RIGHT OVER THE MARTIN ST.LUCIE COUNTY AREA...
WHAT WE KNOW IS AS THAT RIDGE EMERGES AND MOVES EASTWARD IT WILL BLOCK THE NORTHWARD PATH OF THE STORM...NOBODY EXCEPT THE SCIENTISTS CAN SAY HOW MUCH THIS INFLUENCE WILL LIKELY BE...BUT VISUALLY NOW THERE IS NO EVIDENCE TO SUGGEST THAT THE STORM WILL DEVIATE FROM THE OFFICIAL TRAC.
IT IS AS FOOLISH TO WISHCAST THAT THE STORM WILL DEVIATE TOTALLY AWAY FROM THE STATE AS IT IS TO SPECULATE THAT IT WILL RESULT IN THE WORST. JUST BECAUSE SOMEONE HERE WRITES SOMETHING YOU DON'T LIKE DON'T CRITICISE THAT PERSON OR DEMEAN THE PERSON'S ABILITY FOR THAT ALONE. THEY MAY BE RIGHT.
THIS SITE IS FOR FUN..AND OFTEN GOOD INFORMATION...USE IT IN THAT SPIRIT AND ENJOY,OR NOT AS YOU WISH.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center