AgentB
(Weather Guru)
Fri Sep 03 2004 10:32 AM
Re: Frances Weakens a Bit

Quote:

Agent B: Do you have any reason to believe that there is a possiblity that flager and daytona beaches may lift the evacuation status any time today? Thanks Tammy




No, because they don't want a large number of people who have already left trying to get back to their homes and further snarling traffic. Also, Frances still has not made landfall so her course is still very much uncertain at this point in time. I remember reading on this site a while back that one thing to watch is to how the models "trended" from run to run. For a few days they seemed to track Frances north in the morning, south in the afternoon with each run. For the past few runs most have forecasted landfall from Melbourne south, with just a few still showing an almost due north movement(near impossible at this point IMHO). I just don't seen any places from South Florida all the way up to Flagler lifting or modifying evacuation orders 1)because of the huge problems it would cause on the roadways and 2)because Frances still has not made landfall. Hope that helps some.



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