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first off, as to my 105, I just checked it again, and it was in knots... This storm is bringing to mind storms such as Opal, Bonnie, and Isabel--all were very intense hurricanes; all entrained dry air before landfall, and Isabel and Bonnie both stalled and underwent wind shear which disrupted the circulation, and none of these storms recovered: Opal was 160, hit at 125 Bonnie was 120, hit at 100 Isabel was 160, hit at 105 I am not saying strengthening is impossible (nothing really seems impossible this year after last month), but it is very unlikely that Frances will strengthen much before landfall, especially back to 140; and it is still possible that it could weaken my forecast: 105-110 mph between West Palm Beach and Daytona Beach also, to all of you that are not registered, why not? if you make a mistake, you can fix it (ive made tons of typing mistakes ive had to correct) (side note: does anyone else find it odd that there is West Palm Beach on the East Coast?) |