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Frances tracked much more WNW from 11am to 2pm than she had in over 24 hrs. It was a movement of .2 degrees north and .5 degrees west. Obviously it was only in a 3hr timespan, and by 5 o'clock we'll be able to tell if that might be a trend more westward starting. However, yesterday she tracked much closer to NW than she ever had, and any movement that's more west than north needs to be monitored very closely. On the infrared maps it looks like an eye is still somewhat visible to the SE of Great Abacao, but it sort of "disappears" as the storm tracks WNW, and the convection sort of dies out. This is more of a snapshot of current conditions though and shouldn't be marked as a trend. |