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New 18z GFS takes Frances from landfall on the EC and kind of runs it parallel to the Panhandle finally puting it onshore near Pensacola, FWB. That, plus some of the other models I've seen today makes me think the threat of a second landfall along the Panhandle from Tallahassee to Fl, Al border probably as a strong TS. Even the NHC's favorite model the GFDL takes it much farther west then they have forecasted. Im not real sure though, just going with what I've seen. Im sure this will change so Im not to worried over here. |