Last photos seem to show a slightly north of west motion, and the last picture now shows the eye has cleared out. I am wondering if an ERC has completed. I am guessing the winds will be increased by Thur. morning, since the increase in winds should spin down as a result of the sharp pressure drop earlier. It is still hard to believe the models keep shifting right. Not that I trust the ETA at this point, but at 84 hours, it has a track to the left of the others. I am thinking this will end up in the eastern GOM, but Charley was a good reminder that even short range forecasts can be challenging.