rickonboat
(Weather Hobbyist)
Thu Sep 09 2004 01:38 PM
Ivan tending a tad more west this morning

The last few frames, 4 or so, see a definite more move to the west than wnw...probably at the moment, moving wwnw...

Whether this holds...who knows. I would hate to be in Jamaica...

Worst case scenario is to slip through the Yucatan channel.

Can't get a feeling for this one...at all. I think with each passing day, the track will alter. In the last 24 hours, it has altered a lot. Any change in direction...(and there will be) will alter it more...

about 500 miles from Jamaica..and at 15 MPH.. (a perfect speed, really)...the hurricane will hit in the early evening tomorrow, in Jamaica.

Think the path will scrape the bottom, and they will get the worst of it...

we will see



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