Rick, I thought you would be predicting Mobile Bay by now. Just kidding... This storm does concern me (as it should everyone on the Gulf Coast). My parents are elderly and live right off of Mobile Bay. If Frederick had not turned and sucked the Bay dry, our house would have been under water. It took two days to cut the trees off of the road to see if we had a house left. FEMA people came to check on us and said that by air they could see that over 100 tornados went through our woods and "someone sure must have been praying in that house". My father told him "we were praying, but we were not in that house"!!! I guess there is still somewhat of a good chance that this thing could hit northern central Gulf of Mexico???