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Remember, we are talking about a trough that from the last I heard has not even developed yet. Until it does than everyone is game. I still say Florida but it still is up in the air at this point.
ShawnS
The trough I was speaking of is the one currently just north of Florida. It is "pushing" the remnants of Frances off to the NE, and is forecasted to erode to the western side of the high pressure ridge that's sitting to the east of Florida. This erosion would cause Ivan to make his NW/N turn and track between the Caymans and Cuba. However, if he is far enough south the weakness in the ridge won't affect him as much and he will continue to track to the WNW and won't make the NW/N turn until later than was forecast.
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