The storm as a cat iv is probable in the eastern GOM...won't maintain cat v too much longer...
I'm with Scott on prediction of land fall The dynamic is very volaitle right now...I'll stick my neck out after the 11:00am on Friday. I have too as we'll need to finish preparing after that.
The ridge is showing signs of lifting out a little, and what I term a convergence boundary is set up in the NE GOM. One thing I think is improbable is any contact with Yucatan...and any thing west of 85 ...I go that far now.
If the pattern now in place were to hold it will hit the Florida west coast pretty much were the 11am runs put it
One thing we all know the next 60 hours are pretty much a lock...near or over Jamaca and between the Cayman's and Cuba....tomorrow that zone of certainty will shift to the NW about 350 miles or so.