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Ivan is moving toward the west-northwest at 13 knots. This general
motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during
the next 3 days. There high confidence in this portion of the
forecast because the hurricane will be steered by the flow
surrounding a well-established subtropical ridge. All models are highly clustered during this period...bringing the hurricane
between Cuba and the Cayman Islands. Thereafter...the forecast
track becomes highly uncertain.

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