Dr. Steve just said that NHC has it as a Cat5 before making landfall in Cuba. While he was pointing out Cuba, by the way, he was pointing towards the middle, he was pointing and actually using his hands to show how the storm would cross ---right through the smallest part of Cuba....as in, directly south of the Keys...ala Charley. The amazing thing is that he doesn't seem to be biting the "weakening" all that much, and he usually doesn't deviate from what the NHC says. He also looks extremely alarmed, and from watching him for like 60 years now  , he normally doesn't get too animated. That, in itself is alarming.
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Re: GULF activity