Kevin
(Weather Master)
Thu Sep 09 2004 08:34 PM
Re: This was interesting

Quote:

It is because they don't really know. The track will continue to flip flop and change right up until a day or two before landfall. That is why they have already started evacuating the Keys, since it takes at least 2 days to do that.

This is from the 5PM Discussion, and "thereafter" refers to after 2-3 days.

THEREAFTER...THE TRACK CONTINUES TO BE
UNCERTAIN SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MODELS
DIVERGE.

Bill


Bingo, all you have to do is take a degree or so away from the 120 hour 5PM position and Ivan is on Florida's wc!


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