StormHound
(Weather Guru)
Fri Sep 10 2004 02:40 AM
Re: Hmmmm

Quote:

StormHound -- what he is referring to is the old boundary left behind partially in Frances' wake. On water vapor imagery, there is a hint that a new low is trying to form on this boundary west of Tampa. However, at this point, it is a very weak feature.

What tends to happen with these cases is that the low forms, ejects towards the notheast along the boundary, and the whole boundary lifts a bit further north and back westward. If anything in the short term, this low forming will keep Ivan on a slightly more westward path. I doubt it will be enough to turn Ivan into Central Florida, but stranger things have happened.

By the way, for those wanting to try to pick out the formation of new lows on water vapor imagery (meaning these systems are in the mid to upper atmosphere), look along boundaries for an "S" shape. Just to the left of that "S" will be where you find the new low. Thus, in that boundary for example, you see a slight "S" curve off of the Florida coast. Just behind this, a low is forming.




Thanks, Clark. I always learn something new here.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center