Flooding is going to be a serious problem here in Florida as mentioned by this part of the Melbourne NWS Discussion this morning.

"MON-THU...TPC TRACK GUIDANCE...NOT TO MENTION 00Z GLOBAL SUITE...IS OMINOUS FOR FLORIDA...ONCE AGAIN. ALTHOUGH DETAILS ARE NOT YET CERTAIN...AFTER ABOUT H72...ALL GUIDANCE SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT BREACH IN THE DLM RIDGE DEVELOPING RIGHT AROUND THE LONGITUDE OF FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ERN GOMEX. THE GFS/UKM/ECM AND GFS-BASED TROPICAL
GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO SHOW A PENINSULAR FLORIDA LANDFALL WITH THE CNDN GEM SHIFTING EAST CLOSER TO THE PENINSULA...LEAVING THE NOGAPS AS SOMEWHAT OF A WESTERN OUTLIER. THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT...ALTHOUGH STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY FROM ANY POTENTIAL EFFECTS...SW/SOUTH FL IS PRETTY MUCH BRACKETED BY GUIDANCE...AND THUS THE CWA IS LOOKING AT PSBL EFFECTS FROM YET ANOTHER MAJOR HURRICANE.

AGAIN...EXACT TRACK/ INTENSITY REMAINS UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT...BUT WITH IVAN PASSING AS CLOSE TO THE AREA AS CURRENTLY FORECAST...CWA MAY BE LOOKING AT UNCHARTED TERRITORY AS FAR AS FLOODING EFFECTS ALONE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER. SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS COUPLED WITH THE ALREADY WEAKENED STATE OF SO MANY TREES AROUND THE AREA...AND STRUCTURES WHICH ARE ALREADY SUFFERING ROOF AND OTHER DAMAGE WOULD ONLY MAGNIFY POTENTIAL WIND EFFECTS. WE WILL SEE HOW THIS ALL PLAYS OUT."