jth
(Storm Tracker)
Fri Sep 10 2004 11:57 AM
Re: Hurricane Ivan Paths

Ivan appears to have jogged west again and may actually just miss Jamaica to the south. Jamaica was my barometer. If it goes south of Jamaica, then I think it could quite possibly becaome a north central to NE Gulf hit. MS, AL, FL.

Another question....what is supposed to cause the shear? If it is the trough, what happens if the trough does not dig as far south??? Does Ivan mainatin strength til landfall?


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