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I really don't understand the logic in this. I'm guessing it is more political then scientific reason for not moving the track. From the 5:00PM discussion: "However...models are becoming in better agreement on a track across the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Although the official forecast could have been shifted a little westward due to the new guidance...it is not prudent to make a change at this time. The official forecast is now basically to the right of the guidance envelope...and keeps the hurricane on a northward track very close to the Florida West Coast." |