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Jason, does the FSU ensemble normally do a better job than all the other models? Is that why they rely on it so heavily?
The FSU SENS is still a work in progress, but it has had some SCARY successes both in operational use and in post-analysis of past storms. From my understanding (and Clark is much more qualified to answer this than me) once the SENS latches onto a track (which it has done with Ivan for a while now) it does a very good job, without the run to run variations that sometimes plague other models (or at least not the same magnitude). It's not perfect, and had had it's share of out to lunch moments, but it has some really good track record.
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Re: Hail? & ? for Jason