Personally, I can't see much beyond 12 hours (at the outside).

I've seen so many flip-flops with the "It's gonna hit here!!!"-type tracks that I've put myself on a 12 to 18 hour limiter.

So, based on that... http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html

The VIS & IR floater still looks to me like a ridge-extension building to the NW of Ivan.

May it Weaken tomorrow. (and miss Jamacia tonight!)

Edit: With the eye... even so it's going to cause mass distruction....