Tom Terry just said that it may be the strengthening of the storm that may spare Jamaica a direct landfall. However, if the hurricane force winds go out 60 miles, what's the difference between a direct landfall and a brush? Florida's looking at the same exact scenario.

Oh yeah...according to the latest update, they show Ivan crawling up along the west coast of Florida as a CAT 4 until it reaches the Panhandle...as a Cat 3. . A 30-mile jog to the east could be the difference between "bad" and "extremely bad". I don't know how big Ivan is, but I think everyone in Florida will feel the effects of Ivan, unless there is a major change in the track in the next 2 days.
Tom Terry just said that "for now we'll stick with NHC's forecast, the models are battling it out right now, we'll see what it brings in the next couple of hours."
I report, you decide.