RevUp
(Weather Guru)
Sat Sep 11 2004 02:41 PM
Re: Ronn

Quote:

Charley didn't give too much notice about his landfall. Apparently Ivan does his own thing as well. Weren't all the forecasts making him a direct hit into Jamaica? Thank God our technology was a bit off and maybe they have been spared a bit. Point is, how can we look days into the future, when hurricanes change and catch us off guard in just a matter of hours??



It's a miracle that we have the technology that even allows us to guestimate where these cyclones are moving with some pretty good accuracy. The problem is that we don't take the errors of distance, timing and intensity into account when we receive the forecasts ... we're fixated on a line; we don't see the forest because of the trees



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