Not to bash them but I guess the NHC feels that if they keep saying that the ridge will weaken and Ivan **SHOULD** take a more northerly turn it will eventually happen. The word "should" is becoming one of my least favorite words at this point. I think they need to go back to having just the 72hr forecast and forget about the 5 day stuff. It just puts more people in a frenzy and most of the time is incorrect from what I've seen. They are pretty good at the 72hr track so keep they should leave it at that. Again, just my opinion.

ShawnS

I see what you are saying but be patient. Trust me, the NHC knows what is at stake here and has a real hard call to make including all the evacs in S. FL that have taken place as well as the rest of the Gulf Coast getting ready for what may be