Hi.... It may say new subscriber to the left, but I just forgot my old user name and pass. I haven't been here for two years since moving from Delray Bch to Wisconsin. I think I used to be known as Red Dawg.....maybe....???

Been lurking lots this season, though.....

I'm gonna step out on a limb since I see everyones forecasts of landfall moving further and further west along the gulf coast.

I just don't see it. and some of the right-side outlying models are starting to back me up.

Sure the cat 4 & 5 can bull its way through as we've been seeing, but, I think, once the sheer kicks in Ivan will become more and more suseptible to steering influences.

Ultimately, I see the big hook coming thats gonna whip him back towards the peninsula...... and a landfall at about Cedar Key to Clearwater.

Just my hunch based on my observations<-worth 2 centavos

Disclaimer: I'm not a met. Never claimed to be one. Base all your decisions on official products of the NHC.