It's time to start making some predictions/guesses since the storm is possibly/maybe/could be 72 hours from a U.S. landfall. My take is that it will squeeze thru the Yucatan channel(why not, it has missed every other opportunity of making landfall). Eventually, once it does start to turn NW, I think it keeps turning N and even NE in a short period of time.
Landfall north of Tampa as a high end cat 3. I think the NHC misses this one, they have done a great job this year and all good things must come to an end. Their accuracy can't keep up forever. Then again, watch out JK, Jim Cantore is in PCB.