RevUp
(Weather Guru)
Mon Sep 13 2004 09:02 AM
Re: Ivan Category 5 Again

Quote:

What mechanism would create or make a storm have a "land avoidance?"


"Land avoidance" caused by topography, sheer, trofs, ridges, etc. is usually on a smaller scale undiscernable by the models, etc.
When it comes right down to it, the absolutely best "mechanism" I've witnessed in terms of "land avoidance" is prayer. No one forecasted Ivan to take the track it has taken, much less explain the little turns and twists that have kept it over water this long.