JB is a great forecaster Mr.Spock. In regard to Ivan, his track remains NW and I keep on hearing that the NHC is on track. What are they talking about, Ivan maybe in the cone but he is heading in a different direction then predicted. I think Ivan will make landfall by New Orleans, I think Ivan will continue on it's NW course. In the longrange, I agree with JB on his area of devlopment of that wave. I know he tries to devlop almost everything out there but I think he's right this time, we'll see. No harm meant JB , that is if he does come to this website!