THE ANGLE IS CLOSER TO 320-325 FOR ABOUT TWO HOURS...but the dir in the 5pm will remain NW...if that dir continues until 8p. then we can expect a change. What's significant about it is that it would show stronger than predicted influences of weather systems to its north and west.
Fletch if you want to rely only on the NHC that is very good advice, nobody here is attempting to replace the NHC. But we are engaging in some educated speculation. When you have hung around this board for 4-5 years as I have you'll see that some of the opinions expressed here actually precede what NHC actually goes public with by several hours, not because it's not occurring and they don't see it but because they have public responsibilities that we here don't have. This is a private board and we engage in private discussion for the edification and entertainment of the users.