Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Mon Sep 13 2004 06:37 PM
Re: Charley, Frances, Ivan

Definitely heading 305ish over the last two frames. Seems Ivan refuses to hit any island landmasses. Models initialized with positions when he jogged 330ish will be right-biased. I'm getting more and more convinced that this is a Mississippi-Alabama storm with some effects for SE LA and WFL. I guess if I had to make the call, I'd go with Long Beach-Biloxi as a strong Cat 3 or low-end Cat 4.

As noted on an earlier thread, Ivan should be the strongest storm to hit the Mississippi coast since Camille, though he shouldn't be in the same league at landfall - Wed late PM or Thurs late AM.

Steve



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